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Childhood eczema and asthma incidence and persistence: A cohort study from childhood to middle age

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Background

The association between eczema and asthma is well documented, but the temporal sequence of this association has not been closely examined.

Objectives

To examine the association between childhood eczema and asthma incidence from preadolescence to middle age, and between childhood eczema and asthma persisting to middle age. A further aim was to examine any effect modification by nonallergic childhood exposures on the association between childhood eczema and both childhood asthma and later life incident asthma.

Methods

Data were gathered from the 1968, 1974, and 2004 surveys of the Tasmanian Longitudinal Health Study. Multivariable logistic regression examined the association between childhood eczema and childhood asthma. Cox regression examined the association between childhood eczema and asthma incidence in preadolescence, adolescence, and adult life. Binomial regression examined the association between childhood eczema and childhood asthma persisting to age 44 years.

Results

Childhood eczema was significantly associated with childhood asthma and with incident asthma in preadolescence (hazard ratio [HR], 1.70; 95% CI, 1.05-2.75), adolescence (HR, 2.14; 95% CI, 1.33-3.46), and adult life (HR, 1.63; 95% CI, 1.28-2.09). Although childhood eczema was significantly associated with asthma persisting from childhood to middle age (relative risk, 1.54; 95% CI, 1.17-2.04), this association was no longer evident when adjusted for allergic rhinitis.

Conclusion

Childhood eczema increased the likelihood of childhood asthma, of new-onset asthma in later life and of asthma persisting into middle age.

Section snippets

Study population and data collection

The TAHS began in 1968 when a cohort (n = 8583) of 7-year-old children attending school in Tasmania was surveyed. A questionnaire completed by parents detailed each child's history of asthma, hay fever, eczema, food or medicine allergy, and urticaria. At a medical examination, FEV1, forced vita capacity, and forced expiratory flow from 25% to 75% of the forced vital capacity were measured with a wedge-bellows spirometer (Vitalograph Ltd, Buckinghamshire, United Kingdom). These measurements were

Prevalence of eczema and other allergic disorders

In the cohort at the age of 7 years (n = 8583), a response to both eczema questions was obtained for 8237 (96.0%). Of these, 520 (6.3%; 95% CI, 5.8% to 6.9%) were reported as having both infantile and flexural eczema (conjoint eczema), 301 (3.7%; 95% CI, 3.3% to 4.1%) had infantile eczema only, and 279 (3.4%; 95% CI, 3.0% to 3.8%) had flexural eczema only.

A response to the infantile eczema question was obtained for 8311 (96.8%). Of these, 821 (9.9%; 95% CI, 9.2% to 10.5 %) were identified as

Discussion

To our knowledge, this is the first study that examines the association between childhood eczema and asthma development and persistence from childhood to middle age. The results suggest that the effect of childhood eczema on asthma risk continues well past childhood, extending what is already known about this subject. Although the majority of children with eczema will not develop childhood asthma,18 our results suggest that childhood eczema may progress to incident asthma in preadolescence,

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    The Tasmanian Longitudinal Health Study is supported by grants from the National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia, the Victorian and Tasmanian Asthma Foundations, the Clifford Craig Medical Research Trust, and the Royal Hobart Hospital Research Foundation. J.A.B. is supported by a Research Scholarship from the University of Melbourne. G.B.B., M.C.M., J.L.H., and S.C.D. are supported by the National Health and Medical Research Council of Australia.

    Disclosure of potential conflict of interest: S. C. Dharmage has received research support from the National Health Medical Research Council, the Asthma Foundation, and the Ilhan Allergy Foundation. M. J. Abramson has served as a member of the Australian Lung Foundation. E. H. Walters has received research support from the National Health Medical Research Council, GlaxoSmithKline, and the Royal Hobart Research Foundation. The rest of the authors have declared that they have no conflict of interest.

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