Asthma diagnosis and treatment
Risk of developing asthma in young children with atopic eczema: A systematic review

https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jaci.2007.05.042Get rights and content

Background

It is commonly believed that the majority of infants and young children with early atopic eczema will develop asthma in later childhood. This belief is mainly based on cross-sectional population studies. Recent evidence suggests a more complex relationship between early eczema and asthma.

Objective

This systematic review was conducted to assess the risk of developing asthma in children with atopic eczema during the first 4 years of life.

Methods

A sensitive search was performed to identify all prospective cohort studies on the topic. By pooling the eligible reports, we calculated the risk of developing asthma at 6 years of age or older in children with atopic eczema in the first 4 years of life.

Results

Thirteen prospective cohort studies were included, with 4 representing birth cohort studies and 9 representing eczema cohort studies. The pooled odds ratio for the risk of asthma after eczema, compared with children without eczema, in birth cohort studies was 2.14 (95% CI, 1.67-2.75). The prevalence of asthma at the age of 6 years in eczema cohort studies was 35.8% (95% CI, 32.2% to 39.9%) for inpatients and 29.5% (95% CI, 28.2% to 32.7%) for a combined group of inpatients and outpatients.

Conclusion

Although there is an increased risk of developing asthma after eczema in early childhood, only 1 in every 3 children with eczema develops asthma during later childhood. This is lower than previously assumed.

Clinical implications

Our results may have important consequences for counseling patients with atopic eczema and their parents.

Section snippets

Methods

A sensitive search strategy was designed to retrieve all relevant articles from Medline, Embase (Jan 1, 1950 to August 1, 2006) and the Cochrane library (1966 to August 1, 2006). We searched for ([“asthma” OR “wheeze” OR “bronchial hyperresponsiveness”] AND [“eczema” OR “atopic dermatitis” OR “atopy”]) AND (“prospective study” OR “cohort study” OR “risk factor” OR “epidemiologic study” OR “longitudinal study”) as medical subject headings or as main key words in the title or abstract.

Results

The search yielded 2668 hits in Medline and 2498 hits in Embase, of which 1609 were duplicate hits. Out of this total of 3557 articles, 23 were eligible according to our first set of criteria. Of these 23, two articles were excluded because they showed duplicate data from a study already included.11, 12 The full text of 1 report could not be retrieved through library services.13 Following the validity criteria, 7 articles were excluded on the basis of insufficient follow-up figures.14, 15, 16,

Discussion

Our study shows that although the risk of developing asthma in young children with AE is elevated (OR, 2.14; 95% CI, 1.76-2.75), the magnitude of this risk is relatively low, with a prevalence of asthma at the age of 6 years or older of 35.8% (95% CI, 32.2% to 39.9%) in inpatients and of 29.5% (95% CI, 28.2% to 32.7%) in a combined group of inpatients and outpatients. These figures, based on a systematic review of all studies with more than 80% follow-up until the age of 6 years or older, are

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    Disclosure of potential conflict of interest: The authors have declared that they have no conflict of interest.

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