Median, 95% credible intervals of the percentage change of the heat exposure-related spatial hospitalisation risk due to green space, average temperature, index of multiple deprivation and urbanicity and probability that this percentage change is higher than 0
| Effect modifier | Percentage change | Pr (% change >0)* |
| Green space† | −1.46 (−6.99 to 4.39) | 0.30 |
| Average temperature‡ | −0.41 (−1.49 to 0.71) | 0.22 |
| IMD§ | ||
| Q1 | * | |
| Q2 | 0.81 (−1.16 to 3.08) | 0.78 |
| Q3 | 1.57 (−0.76 to 4.06) | 0.91 |
| Q4 | 0.75 (−1.68 to 3.36) | 0.71 |
| Q5 | 1.62 (−1.31 to 4.49) | 0.85 |
| Predominantly rural | * | |
| Urban with significant rural | −0.79 (−3.10 to 1.51) | 0.25 |
| Predominantly urban | −1.57 (−4.16 to 0.96) | 0.12 |
*Posterior probability that the percentage change is larger than zero.
†Green space is the proportion of a region covered by green land such as woodland, agricultural land, grassland and other natural vegetated land.
‡The average temperature is the mean summer temperature per LTLA during 2007–2018oC.
§Index of multiple deprivation. IMD is calculated based on the following domains: (a) income, (b) employment, (c) education, skills and training, (d) health and disability, (e) crime, (f) barriers to housing and services and (g) living environment deprivation. Q1 denotes the most deprived areas, whereas Q5 the least deprived.
IMD, Index of Multiple Deprivation; LTLA, lower tier local authority.