Table 1

Poisson models of emergency asthma admissions in 2020 and 5-year average

ScotlandWales
IRR (95% CI)P valueIRR (95% CI)P value
Pre-lockdown intercept in 2020 compared with 5-year average0.84 (0.69 to 1.02)0.0760.67 (0.53 to 0.83)<0.001
Week-on-week change in weeks 1–12
 Five-year average0.98 (0.97 to 1.00)0.0590.98 (0.96 to 1.00)0.042
 20200.97 (0.96 to 1.00)0.0320.95 (0.93 to 0.97)<0.001
 2020 relative to 5-year average1.00 (0.97 to 1.02)0.7680.97 (0.94 to 1.00)0.033
Overall change in trend at week 13
 Five-year average0.97 (0.79 to 1.20)0.8001.01 (0.81 to 1.27)0.905
 20200.57 (0.44 to 0.75)<0.0010.71 (0.51 to 0.98)0.042
 2020 relative to 5-year average0.59 (0.42 to 0.83)0.0030.70 (0.47 to 1.04)0.082
Week-on-week change in weeks 13–18
 Five-year average0.99 (0.93 to 1.05)0.7240.99 (0.93 to 1.05)0.636
 20201.03 (0.95 to 1.12)0.4320.82 (0.73 to 0.92)0.001
 2020 relative to 5-year average1.04 (0.95 to 1.15)0.4000.84 (0.73 to 0.95)0.008
  • IRR, incidence rate ratio.