| Scotland | Wales | ||
IRR (95% CI) | P value | IRR (95% CI) | P value | |
Pre-lockdown trend in 2020 compared with 5-year average | 2.07 (0.78 to 5.50) | 0.143 | 1.14 (0.35 to 3.74) | 0.826 |
Week-on-week change in weeks 1–12 | ||||
Five-year average | 0.96 (0.87 to 1.06) | 0.428 | 1.01 (0.90 to 1.14) | 0.859 |
2020 | 1.04 (0.95 to 1.14) | 0.372 | 1.03 (0.92 to 1.16) | 0.595 |
2020 relative to 5-year average | 1.08 (0.95 to 1.24) | 0.235 | 1.02 (0.87 to 1.20) | 0.802 |
Overall change in trend at week 13 | ||||
Five-year average | 1.79 (0.60 to 5.32) | 0.295 | 0.67 (0.14 to 2.66) | 0.584 |
2020 | 0.63 (0.21 to 1.92) | 0.417 | 0.82 (0.21 to 2.90) | 0.763 |
2020 relative to 5-year average | 0.35 (0.07 to 1.68) | 0.189 | 1.23 (0.18 to 9.01) | 0.836 |
Week-on-week change in weeks 13–18 | ||||
Five-year average | 0.85 (0.62 to 1.78) | 0.333 | 1.01 (0.67 to 1.52) | 0.967 |
2020 | 0.75 (0.49 to 1.17) | 0.207 | 0.97 (0.68 to 1.38) | 0.860 |
2020 relative to 5-year average | 0.88 (0.51 to 1.52) | 0.656 | 0.96 (0.56 to 1.64) | 0.883 |
IRR, incidence rate ratio.