Table 6

Sensitivity analysis of the SOARS score for predicting mortality in the ISARIC validation cohort

Score cut-offPatients
N (% of total)
True positiveTrue negativeFalse positiveFalse negativeSensitivitySpecificityPPVNPVCumulative mortality (%)
>0833 (5.9%)428479991143499.2%8.1%32.0%95.9%34/833 (4.1%)
>12362 (16.6%)41902234767912897.0%22.5%35.3%94.6%128/2362 (5.4%)
>24241 (29.8%)39173840607340190.7%38.7%39.2%90.5%401/4241 (9.5%)
>36818 (47.9%)326757674146105175.7%58.2%44.1%84.6%1051/6818 (15.4%)
>410 831 (76.1%)177782901623254141.2%83.6%52.3%76.5%2541/10 831 (23.5%)
>513 233 (93.0%)6079522391371114.1%96.1%60.8%72.0%3711/13 233 (28.0%)
>614 172 (99.6%)3698902342820.8%99.8%61.0%69.8%4282/14 172 (30.2%)
>714 231 (100.0%)09912143180.0%100.0%0.0%69.7%4318/14 231 (30.3%)
  • SOARS, SpO2, Obesity, Age, Respiratory rate, Stroke history.