Table 1

Cox model: predictors of 10-year mortality among users of NIV (n=127)

VariablesUnivariate modelMultivariate model
HR (95% CI)P valueHR (95% CI)P value
NIV adherence (% of prescribed duration)*
 100–901†1†
 90–751.45 (0.63 to 3.35)0.152.81 (1.08 to 7.28)0.03
 ≥752.05 (0.90 to 4.68)3.26 (1.32 to 8.04)
Age at DM1 diagnosis
 <201†1†
 20–301.86 (0.65 to 5.30)0.051.64 (0.56 to 4.79)0.10
 30–401.96 (0.57 to 6.70)1.39 (0.39 to 4.88)
 >403.33 (1.38 to 8.05)3.13 (1.21 to 8.10)
Able to walk†0.44 (0.18 to 1.07)0.070.44 (0.16 to 1.20)0.11
Symptoms of respiratory failure
 Dyspnoea at rest0.40 (0.05 to 2.90)0.38
 Exertional dyspnoea0.79 (0.40 to 1.58)0.72
 Morning headaches1.05 (0.52 to 2.12)0.45
 Orthopnoea2.50 (1.29 to 4.87)0.0072.37 (1.17 to 4.80)0.02
 Sleep disturbances1.03 (0.53 to 2.01)0.81
 Diurnal sleepiness1.30 (0.59 to 2.86)0.51
VC (%)
 ≥501†0.130.28
 30–501.70 (0.76 to 3.77)0.31 (0.05 to 1.85)
 ≤303.71 (0.98 to 14.09)1.34 (0.52 to 3.50)
Pacemaker (yes†)1.10 (0.21 to 4.38)0.89
PaCO2≥45 mm Hg1.26 (0.49 to 3.20)0.63
  • P value significant  are bold values.

  • *NIV adherence was computed as the ratio of NIV duration in hours/day over prescribed NIV duration in hours/day.

  • †Indicates the reference category.

  • DM1, myotonic dystrophy type 1; NIV, non-invasive ventilation; VC, vital capacity calculated as the percentage of predicted (≥50, normal; 30–50, restrictive syndrome; ≤30, severe restrictive syndrome).