Table 4

Pairwise correlations in liability, heritability estimates and model fit parameters for liability to incident lung cancer among ever smoking and current smoking concordant twin pairs from the NorTwinCan study

Correlation (95% CI) ACE
ModelMZDZEstimate (95% CI)Estimate (95% CI)Estimate (95% CI)AICp Value
Ever smokers
ACE0.35 (0.21 to 0.49)0.21 (0.09 to 0.33)0.28 (0.0 to 0.66)0.07 (0.0 to 0.36)0.65 (0.50 to 0.79)38759.120.01*
AE0.37 (0.25 to 0.49)0†0.63 (0.51 to 0.75)38757.920.35
CE0†0.28 (0.19 to 0.37)0.72 (0.63 to 0.81)38764.190
Current smokers
ACE0.39 (0.20 to 0.55)0.24 (0.10 to 0.38)0.29 (0.0 to 0.74)0.10 (0.0 to 0.44)0.62 (0.44 to 0.79)30484.270.12*
AE0.41 (0.26 to 0.56)0†0.59 (0.44 to 0.74)30483.460.27
CE0†0.31 (0.20 to 0.42)0.69 (0.58 to 0.80)30488.490.01
  • *Compared to the saturated model; the other models are compared to the ACE model.

  • †95% CI for C effect here could not be estimated reliably.

  • Estimates of genetic (A), shared environmental (C) and unshared environmental (E) variance are presented for the ACE, AE and CE models.

  • AIC, Akaike information criterion’ DZ, dizygotic; MZ, monozygotic.