Table 3

Associations with progression of bronchiectasis

Clinical factorsModel 1*Model 2
Regression coefficient (95% CI)p ValueRegression coefficient (95% CI)p Value
Age1.07 (1.00 to 1.14)0.0411.06 (1.01 to 1.12)0.020
Sex (female)1.08 (0.90 to 1.30)0.408
Severe CFTR genotype1.54 (1.19 to 1.99)0.0011.28 (1.04 to 1.59)0.021
Pancreatic sufficiency0.81 (0.63 to 1.05)0.106
Respiratory symptoms at the initial scan1.13 (0.88 to 1.45)0.325
Respiratory symptoms at the subsequent scan1.39 (1.16 to 1.67)<0.001
CT factors
 Detectable air trapping at the initial scan1.31 (1.09 to 1.58)0.004
 Air trapping extent at the initial scan1.05 (1.01 to 1.09)0.008
 Detectable air trapping at the subsequent scan1.41 (1.12 to 1.77)0.004
 Air trapping extent at the subsequent scan1.09 (1.05 to 1.13)<0.001
 Change in air trapping extent1.08 (1.05 to 1.12)<0.001
Bronchoalveolar lavage factors at the initial scan
 Uninfected(Comparator)(Comparator)
 Mixed oral flora0.91 (0.72 to 1.15)0.4390.85 (0.67 to 1.10)0.218
 Infected1.16 (0.92 to 1.48)0.2121.00 (0.79 to 1.27)0.973
 Detectable neutrophil elastase1.04 (0.84 to 1.30)0.692
 Inflammatory response score1.07 (1.01 to 1.13)0.0161.02 (0.96 to 1.08)0.508
Bronchoalveolar lavage factors at the subsequent scan
 Uninfected(Comparator)(Comparator)
 Mixed oral flora1.35 (1.08 to 1.68)0.0081.23 (0.97 to 1.56)0.091
 Infected1.57 (1.23 to 2.01)<0.0011.38 (1.07 to 1.79)0.014
 Detectable neutrophil elastase1.44 (1.14 to 1.80)0.002
 Inflammatory response score1.18 (1.10 to 1.26)<0.0011.14 (1.08 to 1.22)<0.001
 Change in inflammatory response score1.18 (1.11 to 1.26)<0.001
  • –Not included in model. Bold, significant p-values (<0.05).

  • * Model 1: Each variable analysed in a separate model after adjusting for age at the initial scan and severe CFTR genotype.

  • Model 2: Combined model adjusted for age at initial scan, severe CFTR genotype, infection status at the initial and subsequent scans and inflammation status at the initial and subsequent scans.

  • Regression coefficients have been back-transformed from the logarithmic scale.

  • CFTR, cystic fibrosis transmembrane regulator.