UKLS | NLST16 | Consequence (USA compared with the UK) | |
---|---|---|---|
1 | Yield=2.1% of persons screened | Yield=2.0% of persons screened | Similar yield |
2 | Single prevalence screen. Screening and workup costs per person=£212=$327 at current exchange rates (7 July 2015) | 3 screens to produce similar yield Screening and workup costs per person screened=$1965 (table 2) |
|
3 | Net treatment costs per person (screen-detected vs no screening)=£60=$92 | Net treatment costs per person (screen detected vs no screening)=$175 | US costs treatment costs higher |
4 | Costs of patient time and travel to appointments are NOT included in total costs:
| Costs of patient time and travel to appointments are included in total cost:
| Inclusion of patient costs makes US screening and management appear to be more expensive (and less cost effective) |
5 | Outcome estimate calculations based on life table survival estimates | Outcome estimates calculations based on life table survival estimates | Similar life table survival estimation method used in both trials |
6 | Incremental quality adjusted life years (QALYs) gained per person screened=0.03 | Incremental QALYs gained per person screened=0.02 overall, but 0.03 in the age range 60–69 | Gains per person screened appear essentially similar |
7 | UKLS modelling based on 1 year £8466 per QALY gained (CI £5542 to £12 569) $13 071 per QALY gained (CI $8556 to $19 405) | NLST $81 000 per QALY gained (5% CI 52 000 to 186 000). Calculations based on quintiles 4 and 5, accounts for a significantly higher proportion of the lung cancer deaths: costings: 4th quintile $32,000/QALY; 5th quintile $52,000/QALY (ie, £20,921; £33,996) | Allowing for the fact that the medical care in the USA is more expensive than the UK, the NLST ICER would be at least halved, if the screening had been confined to the two highest risk quintiles |
NICE, National Institute for Health and Care Excellence.