Simulation study results of the impact of two different methods of coding smoking on the accuracy of estimation for genetic main effect and gene-by-smoking interaction effects in the Alpha-1 Antitrypsin Genetic Modifiers Study*
Simulation parameters | Regression results† | |||||||||
Linear pack-years | Piecewise linear | |||||||||
Main effects | G×S | Main effects | G×S | |||||||
SNP main effect | G×S | MAF‡ | Bias† | p Value§ | Bias† | p Value§ | Bias† | p Value§ | Bias† | p Value§ |
0 | 0 | 0.10 | 0.17 | 0.024 | −0.02 | <0.001 | 0.05 | 0.512 | −0.004 | 0.523 |
0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.04 | 0.464 | −0.01 | <0.001 | 0.03 | 0.597 | −0.01 | 0.040 |
0 | 0 | 0.40 | −0.07 | 0.265 | 0.01 | 0.002 | −0.04 | 0.466 | 0.01 | 0.251 |
−1 | 0 | 0.10 | −0.04 | 0.578 | −0.01 | 0.029 | −0.19 | 0.014 | 0.01 | 0.027 |
−1 | 0 | 0.25 | 0.04 | 0.464 | −0.004 | 0.282 | 0.08 | 0.198 | −0.01 | 0.061 |
−1 | 0 | 0.40 | 0.05 | 0.382 | 0.002 | 0.520 | 0.08 | 0.205 | −0.003 | 0.588 |
−1 | −0.07 | 0.10 | −0.09 | 0.250 | 0.02 | <0.001 | −0.05 | 0.523 | 0.003 | 0.664 |
−1 | −0.07 | 0.25 | −0.18 | 0.002 | 0.03 | <0.001 | −0.02 | 0.770 | 0.001 | 0.839 |
−1 | −0.07 | 0.40 | −0.09 | 0.124 | 0.04 | <0.001 | 0.11 | 0.054 | 0.003 | 0.503 |
−1 | −0.33 | 0.10 | −0.73 | <0.001 | 0.16 | <0.001 | −0.11 | 0.157 | 0.03 | <0.001 |
−1 | −0.33 | 0.25 | −0.78 | <0.001 | 0.18 | <0.001 | 0.03 | 0.665 | 0.03 | <0.001 |
−1 | −0.33 | 0.40 | −0.83 | <0.001 | 0.18 | <0.001 | −0.07 | 0.288 | 0.03 | <0.001 |
−1 | −0.45 | 0.10 | −0.87 | <0.001 | 0.24 | <0.001 | −0.03 | 0.651 | 0.08 | <0.001 |
−1 | −0.45 | 0.25 | −1.24 | <0.001 | 0.27 | <0.001 | −0.23 | <0.001 | 0.08 | <0.001 |
−1 | −0.45 | 0.40 | −1.17 | <0.001 | 0.27 | <0.001 | −0.15 | 0.015 | 0.08 | <0.001 |
−1 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 0.23 | 0.001 | −0.04 | <0.001 | −0.04 | 0.601 | 0.01 | 0.305 |
−1 | 0.07 | 0.25 | 0.21 | <0.001 | −0.03 | <0.001 | 0.004 | 0.943 | 0.004 | 0.457 |
−1 | 0.07 | 0.40 | 0.04 | 0.507 | −0.02 | <0.001 | −0.05 | 0.429 | <0.001 | 0.988 |
−1 | 0.33 | 0.10 | 0.91 | <0.001 | −0.17 | <0.001 | −0.06 | 0.470 | 0.002 | 0.775 |
−1 | 0.33 | 0.25 | 0.94 | <0.001 | −0.17 | <0.001 | 0.02 | 0.726 | <0.001 | 0.919 |
−1 | 0.33 | 0.40 | 0.81 | <0.001 | −0.15 | <0.001 | 0.01 | 0.821 | <0.001 | 0.993 |
−1 | 0.45 | 0.10 | 1.18 | <0.001 | −0.23 | <0.001 | −0.08 | 0.273 | −0.004 | 0.459 |
−1 | 0.45 | 0.25 | 1.26 | <0.001 | −0.22 | <0.001 | 0.12 | 0.043 | −0.01 | 0.059 |
−1 | 0.45 | 0.40 | 1.16 | <0.001 | −0.22 | <0.001 | 0.04 | 0.534 | −0.002 | 0.756 |
* Simulations were performed for same direction and opposite direction main and interaction effects. Strength of interaction effect is based on the multivariate smoking main effect of −1 unit from FEV1 percentage predicted per pack-year.
Model is FEV1 (% predicted)=age + sex + pack-years + gene + G×S, where the pack-years variable and the gene-by-smoking interaction term are calculated using either the total number of pack-years smoked (linear pack-years adjustment) or a piecewise linear representation of pack-years.
† Mean bias of β coefficient for main effect and gene-by-smoking interaction term from 1000 regressions on 1000 simulated datasets (ie, mean of the observed β coefficients – the simulated value of the pertinent effect).
‡ Minor allele frequency of the simulated biallelic genetic variant.
§ p Value for test of null hypothesis that bias=0.
FEV1, forced expiratory volume in 1 s; G×S, gene-by-smoking interaction term; MAF, minor allele frequency; SNP, single nucleotide polymorphism.