Table 2

Calibration of severity scores against predicted mortality from the original derivation studies

Observed mortalityPredicted mortalityRR (95% CI)p ValueI2
PSI
 I–II0.75%0.3%2.24 (1.27 to 3.96)0.0050%
 I–III1.6%0.4%3.64 (2.72 to 4.87)<0.000010%
 IV8.9%9.3%0.91 (0.79 to 1.06)0.248%
 V28.2%27%0.99 (0.88 to 1.11)0.957%
CURB65
 0–12.0%1.2%1.63 (1.11 to 2.40)0.0127%
 28.3%9%0.95 (0.74 to 1.21)0.755%
 3–522.3%22.6%1.03 (0.84 to 1.25)0.876%
CRB65
 02.3%0.9%1.15 (0.45 to 2.94)0.852%
 1–213.3%8.1%1.13 (0.83 to 1.55)0.490%
 3–434.4%31.2%1.06 (0.91 to 1.23)0.531%
  • PSI, Pneumonia Severity Index.