(B) Range of possible excess deaths based on various permutations of case-fatality rates and clinical attack rates for the UK
| Overall case fatality rate | Clinical attack rate | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10% | 25% | 50% | |
| *Corresponds to aggregate for recent epidemics (see text). | |||
| 0.37% | 21,500 | 53,700* | 107,500 |
| 1.00% | 56,700 | 141,800 | 283,700 |
| 1.5% | 85,100 | 212,800 | 425,500 |
| 2.5% | 141,800 | 354,600 | 709,300 |