Table 2 Percentage excess relative risks (95% credible intervals) by cause and exposure window (years) for black smoke (per 10 μg/m3) across all mortality periods combined
Exposure window(years)*All-causeCardiorespiratoryCardiovascularRespiratoryLung cancerOther
UnadjustedAdjusted†UnadjustedAdjusted†UnadjustedAdjusted†UnadjustedAdjusted†UnadjustedAdjusted†UnadjustedAdjusted†
0-43.81.34.41.73.91.26.03.64.50.42.70.8
(3.4 to 4.1)(1.0 to 1.6)(3.9 to 4.8)(1.3 to 2.2)(3.4 to 4.4)(0.7 to 1.7)(5.1 to 6.9)(2.6 to 4.5)(3.3 to 5.8)(−0.9 to 1.7)(2.1 to 3.2)(0.2 to 1.4)
5–83.21.33.71.63.31.15.03.14.81.42.20.7
(3.0 to 3.5)(1.0 to 1.5)(3.3 to 4.0)(1.2 to 1.9)(2.9 to 3.6)(0.8 to 1.5)(4.4 to 5.7)(2.4 to 3.9)(3.9 to 5.7)(0.4 to 2.4)(1.8 to 2.6)(0.3 to 1.2)
9–122.61.22.91.52.81.43.42.04.41.91.60.4
(2.4 to 2.7)(1.0 to 1.3)(2.8 to 3.1)(1.3 to 1.8)(2.6 to 3.0)(1.2 to 1.6)(3.1 to 3.8)(1.6 to 2.5)(3.9 to 5.0)(1.3 to 2.4)(1.3 to 1.8)(0.2 to 0.7)
13–162.00.92.21.32.21.32.41.23.21.11.20.3
(1.9 to 2.0)(0.8 to 1.0)(2.0 to 2.4)(1.2 to 1.4)(2.1 to 2.4)(1.2 to 1.4)(2.1 to 2.6)(0.9 to 1.5)(2.8 to 3.5)(0.8 to 1.5)(1.0 to 1.3)(0.2 to 0.5)
0–81.90.72.20.92.00.73.01.92.60.61.30.4
(1.8 to 2.1)(0.6 to 0.9)(2.0 to 2.4)(0.7 to 1.1)(1.7 to 2.2)(0.4 to 0.9)(2.6 to 3.4)(1.5 to 2.3)(2.1 to 3.2)(0.0 to 1.2)(1.1 to 1.6)(0.2 to 0.7)
0–121.30.51.40.71.30.61.81.12.00.70.80.3
(1.2 to 1.3)(0.5 to 0.6)(1.4 to 1.5)(0.6 to 0.8)(1.2 to 1.5)(0.5 to 0.7)(1.6 to 2.0)(0.9 to 1.3)(1.7 to 2.3)(0.4 to 1.0)(0.7 to 0.9)(0.1 to 0.4)
0–160.90.41.00.51.00.51.10.61.40.50.50.2
(0.8 to 0.9)(0.4 to 0.4)(0.9 to 1.1)(0.5 to 0.6)(0.9 to 1.0)(0.4 to 0.6)(1.0 to 1.3)(0.5 to 0.8)(1.2 to 1.5)(0.3 to 0.7)(0.5 to 0.6)(0.1 to 0.2)
  • * See fig 1.

  • †Adjusted for deprivation and urban/rural classification.