PT  - JOURNAL ARTICLE
AU  - Carlos Echevarria
AU  - Joanne Gray
AU  - Tom Hartley
AU  - John Steer
AU  - Jonathan Miller
AU  - A John Simpson
AU  - G John Gibson
AU  - Stephen C Bourke
TI  - Home treatment of COPD exacerbation selected by DECAF score: a non-inferiority, randomised controlled trial and economic evaluation
AID  - 10.1136/thoraxjnl-2017-211197
DP  - 2018 Apr 21
TA  - Thorax
PG  - thoraxjnl-2017-211197
4099  - http://thorax.bmj.com/content/early/2018/04/21/thoraxjnl-2017-211197.short
4100  - http://thorax.bmj.com/content/early/2018/04/21/thoraxjnl-2017-211197.full
AB  - Background Previous models of Hospital at Home (HAH) for COPD exacerbation (ECOPD) were limited by the lack of a reliable prognostic score to guide patient selection. Approximately 50% of hospitalised patients have a low mortality risk by DECAF, thus are potentially suitable.Methods In a non-inferiority randomised controlled trial, 118 patients admitted with a low-risk ECOPD (DECAF 0 or 1) were recruited to HAH or usual care (UC). The primary outcome was health and social costs at 90 days.Results Mean 90-day costs were £1016 lower in HAH, but the one-sided 95% CI crossed the non-inferiority limit of £150 (CI −2343 to 312). Savings were primarily due to reduced hospital bed days: HAH=1 (IQR 1–7), UC=5 (IQR 2–12) (P=0.001). Length of stay during the index admission in UC was only 3 days, which was 2 days shorter than expected. Based on quality-adjusted life years, the probability of HAH being cost-effective was 90%. There was one death within 90 days in each arm, readmission rates were similar and 90% of patients preferred HAH for subsequent ECOPD.Conclusion HAH selected by low-risk DECAF score was safe, clinically effective, cost-effective, and preferred by most patients. Compared with earlier models, selection is simpler and approximately twice as many patients are eligible. The introduction of DECAF was associated with a fall in UC length of stay without adverse outcome, supporting use of DECAF to direct early discharge.Trial registration number Registered prospectively ISRCTN 29082260.