Table 4

Back-extrapolated from ESCAPE-period exposures (2008–2011) to early 2000s ‘historic exposure estimates’: fixed-effect meta-analysis on cross-sectional results from ECRHS (2002), NSHD (1999), SAPALDIA (2002): all participants (upper section) and never-smokers (lower section), main model 3.

All participantsBack-extrapolated NO2, 10 µg/m3Back-extrapolated PM10, 10 µg/m3
Chronic bronchitisChronic coughChronic phlegmChronic bronchitisChronic coughChronic phlegm
OR95% CIOR95% CIOR95% CIOR95% CIOR95% CIOR95% CI
Cohort (year)
 ECRHS (2002)0.99(0.90 to 1.10)1.03(0.96 to 1.11)1.01(0.94 to 1.09)1.22(0.83 to 1.80)1.03(0.80 to 1.34)1.29(0.97 to 1.72)
 NSHD (1999)1.23(0.99 to 1.54)1.07(0.91 to 1.27)1.16(0.96 to 1.41)1.20(0.57 to 2.53)1.05(0.61 to 1.79)1.39(0.74 to 2.61)
 SAPALDIA (2002)1.01(0.77 to 1.33)0.99(0.71 to 1.40)0.98(0.84 to 1.15)1.44(0.63 to 3.28)1.77(0.65 to 4.86)0.93(0.59 to 1.45)
 Overall effect1.03(0.94 to 1.12)1.04(0.97 to 1.11)1.02(0.96 to 1.09)1.25(0.91 to 1.71)1.06(0.85 to 1.34)1.20(0.96 to 1.50)
 Phet:0.2130.8970.3500.9320.5960.420
Never-smokers
 ECRHS (2002)0.99(0.79 to 1.23)1.00(0.91 to 1.10)0.97(0.83 to 1.14)1.92(0.92 to 3.99)1.17(0.74 to 1.84)1.95(1.09 to 3.49)
 NSHD (1999)1.04(0.60 to 1.80)0.97(0.65 to 1.45)0.84(0.52 to 1.37)1.45(0.28 to 7.55)0.71(0.20 to 2.52)1.00(0.24 to 4.21)
 SAPALDIA (2002)0.92(0.52 to 1.64)0.70(0.34 to 1.44)0.88(0.67 to 1.16)0.65(0.10 to 4.37)0.59(0.07 to 4.96)0.77(0.35 to 1.70)
 Overall effect0.99(0.81 to 1.20)0.99(0.90 to 1.09)0.94(0.83 to 1.07)1.63(0.87 to 3.07)1.08(0.71 to 1.64)1.37(0.88 to 2.13)
 Phet:0.9560.6300.7400.5790.6540.161
  • Phet, p Value for heterogeneity.

  • ECRHS, European Community Respiratory Health Survey; ESCAPE, European Study of Cohorts for Air Pollution Effects; NSHD, National Survey of Health and Development; PM, particulate matter; SAPALDIA, Swiss cohort study on Air Pollution And Lung and heart Diseases in Adults.