Table 3

Multivariate model of factors associated with lung cancer 4–12 months before diagnosis

Risk factor variableAdjusted OR (95% CI)p Value*β coefficient
Age at diagnosis (years)
 40–451.000.9164
 45–502.50 (1.96 to 3.19)1.6900
 50–555.42 (4.34 to 6.78)2.3669
 55–6010.67 (8.61 to 13.22)<0.0012.9746
 60–6519.59 (15.86 to 24.18)3.3534
 65–7028.61 (23.17 to 35.32)3.8006
 70–7544.74 (36.26 to 55.21)4.0944
 75–8060.03 (48.62 to 74.12)4.1828
 >8065.55 (53.10 to 80.93)
Sex
 Men1.62 (1.55 to 1.69)<0.0010.4805
 Women
Townsend score
 5 (most deprived)1.10 (1.02 to 1.18)0.0932
 41.12 (1.05 to 1.20)0.00170.1157
 31.07 (1.00 to 1.14)0.0640
 21.00 (0.93 to 1.07)-0.0009
 1 (least deprived)1.000.0099
 Missing Townsend records1.01 (0.90 to 1.13)
Smoking status and 6-month qty
 Current very heavy (40+/day)15.91 (13.90 to 18.21)2.7664
 Current heavy (20–39/day)13.45 (12.44 to 14.54)2.5984
 Current moderate (10–19/day)9.82 (9.04 to 10.68)2.2845
 Current light (1–9/day)5.98 (5.36 to 6.68)1.7885
 Current trivial (<1/day)2.68 (1.21 to 5.90)0.9851
 Current, no qty recorded3.47 (3.08 to 3.91)1.2432
 Ex very heavy (40+/day)5.33 (4.48 to 6.35)1.6742
 Ex heavy (20–39/day)6.67 (6.06 to 7.35)1.8980
 Ex moderate (10–19/day)4.50 (4.07 to 4.98)1.5045
 Ex light (1–9/day)3.54 (3.12 to 4.02)<0.0011.2636
 Ex trivial (<1/day)1.21 (0.68 to 2.17)0.1943
 Ex, no qty recorded2.57 (2.38 to 2.78)0.9455
 Missing smoking records2.70 (2.45 to 2.97)0.9922
 Non-smoker1.00
Cough1.63 (1.53 to 1.75)<0.0010.4915
Haemoptysis8.70 (6.75 to 11.20)<0.0012.1630
Dyspnoea1.41 (1.29 to 1.55)<0.0010.3449
Weight loss2.66 (2.16 to 3.29)<0.0010.9794
LRTI1.56 (1.38 to 1.76)<0.0010.4414
Chest infections1.55 (1.44 to 1.68)<0.0010.4393
COPD1.61 (1.46 to 1.78)<0.0010.4786
Chest/shoulder pain1.39 (1.28 to 1.51)<0.0010.3296
Voice hoarseness1.79 (1.28 to 2.49)0.0010.5806
URTI1.15 (1.02 to 1.30)0.0200.1417
No. of GP consultations
 0–101.000.2032
 11–201.23 (1.16 to 1.29)<0.0010.3069
 21 or more1.36 (1.28 to 1.44)
Logistic regression constant−7.2295
  • *p Values for binary variables were obtained using Wald's test of significance. In variables with more than two categories, p values were obtained from the likelihood ratio test.

  • COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; GP, general practitioner; LRTI, lower respiratory tract infection; URTI, upper respiratory tract infection.