(A) Range of possible excess deaths based on various permutations of case-fatality rates and clinical attack rates for England and Wales
| Overall case fatality rate | Clinical attack rate | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10% | 25% | 50% | |
| *Corresponds to aggregate for recent epidemics (see text). | |||
| 0.37% | 19,300 | 48,400* | 96,700 |
| 1.00% | 51,700 | 129,200 | 258,400 |
| 1.5% | 77,100 | 192,700 | 385,400 |
| 2.5% | 129,200 | 323,000 | 645,900 |