Table 3

 Relative risk of lung cancer, non-lung tobacco-related cancers, other cancers and all-cause mortality in relation to lung function

OutcomeLung function*
COPD
NormalMildModerate/severeRestrictive lung disease
nRRnRR (95% CI)nRR (95% CI)nRR (95% CI)
COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; FEV1, forced expiratory volume in 1 s; SSC, squamous cell carcinoma; VC, vital capacity.
*Normal: FEV1/VC >70%, %FEV1 >80%; mild COPD: FEV1/VC ⩽70%, %FEV1 >80%; moderate/severe COPD: FEV1/VC ⩽70%, %FEV1 ⩽80%; restrictive lung disease: FEV1/VC >70%, %FEV1 ⩽80%.
†RR adjusted for attained age, smoking (non-smoker; former smoker; current smoker, <50 pack-years; current smoker, ⩾50 pack-years, current smoker, pack-years unknown).
‡RR adjusted for attained age.
§RR adjusted for attained age, smoking intensity and smoking duration.
¶RR adjusted for attained age, body mass index (⩽18.5, 18.6–20.0, 20.1–22.5, 22.6–25.0, 25.1–27.5, 27.6–30.0, 30.1–35.0, >35.0 and missing), smoking (non-smoker; former smoker; current smoker, <50 pack-years; current smoker, ⩾50 pack-years, current smoker, pack-years unknown).
**RR adjusted for attained age, body mass index.
††RR adjusted for attained age, body mass index, smoking intensity and smoking duration.
Lung cancer
    Overall†5701.0701.5 (1.2 to 1.9)1052.2 (1.8 to 2.7)892.0 (1.6 to 2.5)
    5-year lag time5181.0611.5 (1.1 to 1.9)882.1 (1.7 to 2.6)852.2 (1.7 to 2.8)
    10-year lag time3881.0471.6 (1.1 to 2.1)572.1 (1.6 to 2.7)622.3 (1.8 to 3.1)
    15-year lag time2111.0261.7 (1.1 to 2.6)272.3 (1.5 to 3.4)312.6 (1.8 to 3.8)
    Non-smokers‡371.010.9 (0.1 to 6.7)22.8 (0.7 to 11.9)21.6 (0.4 to 6.8)
    Former smokers§561.072.2 (1.0 to 4.8)10.3 (0.1 to 2.5)51.7 (0.7 to 4.2)
    Current smokers§4771.0621.5 (1.1 to 1.9)1022.3 (1.9 to 2.9)822.1 (1.7 to 2.7)
    Adenocarcinoma†1621.0161.3 (0.8 to 2.2)201.6 (1.0 to 2.6)90.8 (0.4 to 1.5)
    SCC†1511.0191.4 (0.9 to 2.3)382.7 (1.9 to 3.8)312.5 (1.7 to 3.7)
    Small cell carcinoma†771.0132.2 (1.2 to 3.9)101.6 (0.8 to 3.1)172.9 (1.7 to 5.0)
    Other/unclassified†1801.0221.5 (0.9 to 2.3)372.4 (1.7 to 3.5)322.3 (1.6 to 3.4)
Non-lung tobacco-related cancers
    Overall†12761.0851.1 (0.9 to 1.3)1281.6 (1.4 to 2.0)851.1 (0.9 to 1.4)
    Non-smokers‡2651.0101.3 (0.7 to 2.5)71.4 (0.7 to 3.1)60.7 (0.3 to 1.5)
    Former smokers§2291.0111.0 (0.6 to 1.9)141.5 (0.9 to 2.6)121.2 (0.6 to 2.1)
    Current smokers§7821.0641.0 (0.8 to 1.3)1071.7 (1.4 to 2.1)671.1 (0.9 to 1.5)
Other cancers
    Overall†47491.02571.0 (0.9 to 1.1)2431.0 (0.9 to 1.1)2400.9 (0.8 to 1.1)
    Non-smokers‡17671.0541.1 (0.8 to 1.4)421.3 (1.0 to 1.8)460.8 (0.6 to 1.0)
    Former smokers§9661.0481.0 (0.8 to 1.4)441.1 (0.8 to 1.4)491.1 (0.7 to 1.5)
    Current smokers§20161.01550.9 (0.8 to 1.1)1570.9 (0.8 to 1.1)1451.0 (0.8 to 1.2)
All-cause mortality
    Overall¶76591.05611.2 (1.1 to 1.3)8451.9 (1.8 to 2.0)6681.4 (1.3 to 1.6)
    Non-smokers**19871.0611.1 (0.8 to 1.4)611.6 (1.2 to 2.1)991.4 (1.1 to 1.7)
    Former smokers††13221.0791.2 (0.9 to 1.5)1031.9 (1.6 to 2.4)1071.7 (1.4 to 2.1)
    Current smokers††43501.04211.2 (1.1 to 1.4)6812.0 (1.8 to 2.1)4621.4 (1.3 to 1.6)