Table 2

 Cox proportional hazards model of time to first exacerbation

Patient characteristicHazard ratio (95% CI)p value
FEV1, forced expiratory volume in 1 second; FVC, forced vital capacity; BMI, body mass index.
Age0.98 (0.96 to 0.998)0.03
Female sex1.45 (1.07 to 1.95)0.02
BMI (kg/m2)0.99 (0.95 to 1.05)0.94
Lung function
    FEV1 (% predicted)0.98 (0.97 to 0.995)0.006
    FVC (% predicted)1.01 (0.995 to 1.02)0.23
CF related diabetes mellitus0.79 (0.56 to 1.11)0.17
Courses of IV antibiotics for pulmonary exacerbation in past 24 months
    0
    11.51 (1.03 to 2.21)0.03
    2–31.64 (1.07 to 2.52)0.02
    >33.16 (1.93 to 5.17)<0.0001
<0.0001 (trend)
Bacteria in sputum at enrolment
    Burkholderia cepacia complex (BC)0.39 (0.24 to 0.64)0.0002
    Pseudomonas aeruginosa (PA)0.68 (0.43 to 1.08)0.1
    Both BC and PA0.29 (0.14 to 0.59)0.0008
    Other
New bacterial species acquired in sputum during study1.03 (0.82 to 1.28)0.82
Medications used chronically
    Inhaled corticosteroid1.13 (0.86 to 1.48)0.39
    DNase1.28 (0.92 to 1.78)0.14
    Inhaled antibiotics0.92 (0.69 to 1.21)0.54
    Oral antibiotics
        None
        Azithromycin1.04 (0.70 to 1.55)0.83
        Other0.89 (0.58 to 1.37)0.61