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The most recent version of this article was published on 1 January 2007

Thorax. Published Online First: 1 September 2006. doi:10.1136/thx.2004.038844
Copyright © 2006 BMJ Publishing Group Ltd & British Thoracic Society.

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Time trends in allergic disorders in the UK

Ramyani Gupta 1*, Aziz Sheikh 2, David P Strachan 1 and H Ross Anderson 1

1 St George's, University of London, United Kingdom
2 University of Edinburgh, United Kingdom

* To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: rgupta{at}sgul.ac.uk.

Accepted 21 July 2006


Abstract

Background: Allergic disorders are common in the UK. We review recent UK time trends in prevalence, morbidity and mortality for allergic disorders, excluding asthma.

Methods: Trend analysis over recent decades of national, representative or repeat surveys, primary care consultations, prescriptions, hospital admissions and mortality.

Results: Serial surveys show that the prevalence of diagnosed allergic rhinitis and eczema in children have both trebled over the last three decades. While these long-term trends were paralleled by the prevalence of disease symptoms, more recent symptom prevalence data suggest a decline. Similarly, GP consultation rates rose by 260% for hay fever and by 150% for eczema overall during the period 1971 - 91, but rates have stabilised over the past decade. Hospital admissions for eczema have been stable since 1995 and for allergic rhinitis have fallen to about 35% of their 1990 levels. Since 1990 admissions for anaphylaxis have increased by 600%, for food allergy by 400%, for urticaria by 100% and for angioedema by 20%. Prescriptions issued for all types of allergy have increased since 1991.

Conclusions: The prevalence and healthcare utilisation for eczema and hay fever have increased substantially over recent decades, but may now be stabilising or even falling. In contrast, admissions for some systemic allergic diseases have risen sharply in the last decade which may indicate a rising incidence of these conditions. Though changes in treatment and other healthcare factors may have contributed to these trends there may also be a change in the aetiology of allergic disease in the UK.

Keywords: allergic disease, epidemiology, trend


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